Categories
Human Behavior

When Science Fails

You may have heard of the marshmallow test. Back in the late 1960s, Stanford psychologist Walter Mischel sat preschoolers down with a marshmallow and made them an offer—eat it now, or wait fifteen minutes and get two. Then he left them alone and watched what happened.

The kids who waited, the story goes, went on to have better life outcomes. Higher SAT scores. Lower BMI. Better jobs. The ability to delay gratification, it seemed, was the secret ingredient to success.

When I became a parent, I thought here’s something I can use. I could become a better parent through science. I tried it on one of my sons, running my own informal experiment. I told him the rules. Here’s a marshmallow. If you can wait 15 minutes, I’ll give you two. I set a marshmallow down in front of him and waited to see what would happen.

He looked at the marshmallow. Acknowledged its existence. Then went back to whatever he was doing.

Fifteen minutes passed. The marshmallow sat there. An hour. He liked this game. He asked, “How many marshmallows do I get now?” It wasn’t that he didn’t like marshmallows—he did. He just happened to be weirdly good at ignoring them. I could probably have left that marshmallow there for days.

I thought this is it! This kid is destined for great things.

And look, I still think he is destined for great things. But here’s what I learned pretty quickly. His supernatural ability to resist marshmallows didn’t translate to resisting video games. Or ice cream. Or the urge to hit his brother when his brother was being annoying.

Turns out self-control isn’t one thing. It’s not a trait you either have or don’t have, like eye color or left-handedness. And that famous marshmallow experiment? It’s a great story. But like so many great stories in psychology, it doesn’t hold up nearly as well as we’d like to think.

When Stories Become Science

Here’s the thing about the marshmallow test. When researchers tried to replicate it with larger, more diverse samples, the whole thing kind of fell apart. The correlation between childhood marshmallow-waiting and adult success basically disappears once you control for family income and education. The original study had a small sample, mostly kids from Stanford’s campus community. What looked like a profound insight into human nature was actually just a story about privilege.

But we love these stories. We love them because they’re clean. Simple. Scientific-sounding. They give us the illusion that human behavior can be reduced to a single variable we can measure and optimize.

This is the world we live in now. Science gave us cars and houses and antibiotics and smartphones, and we’re grateful for that. We should be. But somewhere along the way, we decided that everything should be scientific. That everything should be able to be measured, studied, and reproduced in a lab.

Science has become our religion. It’s where we turn for answers, for certainty, for legitimacy. We have faith that science works, and we apply it to everything, whether it belongs there or not.

In the physical sciences, this works great. Chemistry, physics, biology—we see the results immediately and they’re consistent. But when we get into fields like psychology, things get messier. This is what led to what psychologists called their reproducibility crisis.

Basically, a lot of the famous experiments that had been taught for decades, that had shaped how we understand human behavior, turned out to be flukes. They were interesting one-offs with compelling narratives. These stories seemed too good to be true. And they were.

When Sensational Stories Become Scientific Truth

Consider Kitty Genovese. In 1964, she was murdered outside her Queens apartment while, according to the New York Times, 38 witnesses watched and did nothing. The story became the foundation for understanding the “bystander effect”—the more people present, the less likely anyone is to help.

It’s a hell of a story. It shaped decades of psychology research. It became the go-to example in every intro psych textbook.

There’s just one problem. It wasn’t true.

Later investigations revealed that far fewer people witnessed the attack. Several did call the police. At least one person held Genovese as she died. The Times story was sensationalized—probably to sell papers—and then that sensationalized version became the basis for scientific conclusions about human nature.

Then there’s the Stanford Prison Experiment, where Philip Zimbardo randomly assigned students to play prisoners and guards, then watched as the “guards” became sadistic and the “prisoners” broke down. The experiment seemed to prove that situations, not character, drive behavior. That any of us could become monsters given the right circumstances.

Decades later we learned that Zimbardo actively coached the guards to be harsh. That many participants were basically acting what they thought was expected. That the most dramatic incidents involved just a few individuals, not some universal dark side of human nature.

These experiments became famous because they’re stories. They have protagonists, conflicts, dramatic reveals. They’re the kind of thing you remember from Psych 101 twenty years later. They’re too good not to be true.

Which is exactly why we should have been more skeptical.

The Tyranny of Analysis

This impulse to make everything scientific extends way beyond psychology. Look at how we teach poetry.

The whole point of a poem is that it can mean different things to different people. You can hold it up to the light and see something I don’t see. You can turn it around, look at it from another angle, feel something unexpected. That’s not a bug—it’s the entire point. Poetry is about feeling, about creation, about letting something resonate in ways the creator might not have even intended.

But we don’t teach it that way. We teach students to analyze creative works—to dissect metaphors, identify literary techniques, interpret symbolism. And more than that, we teach them that there’s a right answer. That the goal is to figure out what the poem “really means.”

This might help you get an A in English class. It might help you win at school. But it doesn’t teach you anything about poetry, or creation, or appreciation. It doesn’t help you notice something beautiful in your actual life. It doesn’t help you capture a moment or let art move you. How often will you need to write a formal analysis of a poem’s structure after graduation? Compare that to how often you might want to experience something beautiful and let it sit with you.

That’s why I was excited when we went to an open house at the Heschel School and the English teacher shared the following poem for discussion.

That’s why I was excited when we went to an open house at the Heschel School and the English teacher shared the following poem—not with the students, but with us, the parents.

Think about that for a second. He wasn’t teaching the kids how to interpret Billy Collins. She was teaching us, the parents, how not to ask our kids what their poems “really mean.” In a room full of achievement-oriented parents who probably wanted to know about grade distributions and college acceptance rates, he was quietly suggesting that maybe we were asking the wrong questions entirely.

Introduction to Poetry

I ask them to take a poem
and hold it up to the light
like a color slide

or press an ear against its hive.

I say drop a mouse into a poem
and watch him probe his way out,

or walk inside the poem’s room
and feel the walls for a light switch.

I want them to waterski
across the surface of a poem
waving at the author’s name on the shore.

But all they want to do
is tie the poem to a chair with rope
and torture a confession out of it.

They begin beating it with a hose
to find out what it really means.

Billy Collins, Introduction to Poetry from The Apple that Astonished Paris.

That last bit—students beating a poem with a hose to extract its meaning—that’s what we always do. We’ve turned everything—even poetry—into a puzzle with a correct solution. But real poetry isn’t a science. It’s an art. Art doesn’t have one correct interpretation.

So What Do We Do Now?

The marshmallow test isn’t about marshmallows. It’s about self-control. And self-control matters. The ability to separate impulse from action is genuinely important—it shows up in the Bible, Buddhist texts, every wisdom tradition we have.

These experiments are tools, not destinations. The problem is we keep treating the measurement as if it were the phenomenon.

The scientific method is powerful because it’s humble—it demands replication, welcomes skepticism, updates with new evidence. But when we need every question to have a scientific answer, we get pseudo-science instead—the aesthetic of science without its rigor.

Some things can’t be boiled down to a single experimental variable. A poem means different things to different people. That’s not a failure, that’s the point.

My son is destined for great things not because of a marshmallow test, but because he’s curious and kind and stubborn in productive ways. Not everything worth knowing fits neatly into an experimental design. The hard truth is that science doesn’t know everything, and it never will. You can’t reduce a person to a test score or a poem to its “real meaning.” And that’s not a failure—that’s what makes life more than a bunch of equations.

Categories
Human Behavior Life Lessons

Happy All the Time?

One of my wife’s favorite books from growing up was Happy All the Time by Laurie Colwin. It stands proudly on our bookshelf like a little totem to childhood optimism—a promise that somewhere out there, happiness could be a permanent state if you just figured out how to arrange your life correctly.

For a very long time, I believed that too. I even had a section on my website called “Happiness and Inspiration.” I thought that if I read enough, optimized enough, meditated enough—whatever the adult equivalent of eating my vegetables was—I could eventually arrive at happiness.

But this year, I realized I was chasing the wrong goal.

Categories
ChatGPT Human Behavior

From Sapiens to Silicon: The Evolution of Storytelling Species

I think I’m the most special person on earth—part of the most special species on Earth. Not because of my job or my talents or anything I’ve accomplished, but because I’m human. And if you’re reading this, you probably think you’re the most special person on earth too—for the exact same reason.

But what really makes humans special? According to Yuval Harari’s Sapiens, it’s not tool use—crows can bend wires into hooks. It’s not language—whales sing and bees dance. It’s not even raw intelligence. What sets us apart is that we can believe in things that don’t exist, and then build entire civilizations on top of them.

Seventy thousand years ago, we were evolutionary middle-managers. Not the strongest, not the fastest, not even the smartest animals around. We were just… adequate. Then something extraordinary happened—what Harari calls the “Cognitive Revolution.” We learned to tell stories and, more importantly, to believe them together.

Categories
Human Behavior

Let’s Have More 3 Day Weekends!

Isn’t it great to have a three-day weekend? We have a little extra time to breathe, sleep in, maybe go somewhere. We should have more of them.

But there’s nothing we can do about that… right?

Well—maybe. Unless we were more like China. In China, they noticed the same problem: people want longer holidays. More specifically, the tourism industry wanted longer holidays, but businesses don’t want to give up too many workdays. So instead of fighting about it, they rearranged the calendar.

In 1999 , they invented something called 调休 (tiáoxiū)—”adjusted rest.” It’s a system of make-up working days, where weekends are sometimes converted into regular workdays called “special working days” to create longer blocks of time off around major holidays.

And you know what? It’s absolutely brilliant. And also completely insane. Let me explain.

What China Actually Did (Calendar Tetris, Government Edition)

Picture this: Next Tuesday is Dragon Boat Festival—a nice little one-day holiday. The government is so nice that they even give you Monday off to connect it to the weekend. Then your Chinese colleague casually mentions, “Oh, by the way, we’re working this Saturday to make up for it.”

Wait… what?

This is adjusted rest in action. China takes their holidays and engineers them into blocks by borrowing weekend days. That three-day weekend you’re enjoying? You may have worked a Saturday or Sunday to “earn” it.

It happens all the time throughout the Chinese calendar. Here’s the 2025 Chinese calendar. Note the special working days.

From teamedUP China, a Chinese recruiting firm

Why It Worked in China

This system works in China because of something you see everywhere there: an almost supernatural ability for society-wide coordination around shared priorities.

Take gaokao (高考), China’s college entrance exam. The entire country comes to a standstill for three days in June—construction sites go silent, airlines reroute flights, and businesses turn down music. It’s not just government policy; it’s collective buy-in because everyone understands this matters.

The same cultural DNA makes adjusted rest work. When the government says, “We’re all working Saturday so everyone can have meaningful family time,” there’s immediate social consensus. Chinese workers embraced this system because it delivers what they genuinely value: real time for family visits across this massive country. When your parents live 1,000 miles away, a single day off is useless. But a week-long Chinese New Year break? That’s life-changing.

When Beijing publishes the holiday calendar each October, 1.4 billion people simply adjust accordingly. No endless debates, no union disputes—an entire civilization synchronizes like a coordinated dance.

Why It Would Never Work in America

Now imagine trying to implement a make-up day policy in the United States. It would be chaos.

It doesn’t work for us because we’re too beautifully, chaotically diverse. Just think about all the observant Jews who can’t work on Saturday for religious reasons. Or the millions of retail and service workers whose schedules are already scattered across seven days a week. Or the parents juggling childcare around school schedules that don’t align with federal holidays. Or the freelancers and gig workers who don’t even have traditional weekends to begin with.

We’re just not the type of society that’s good at making collective decisions, even when they’d benefit everyone. Try to get Americans to agree on synchronized vacation schedules and you’ll trigger the same cultural immune response that makes us argue about daylight saving time for decades without ever actually changing anything.

What We Do Instead

So what do we do in the US instead? We move the holidays. That’s why most federal holidays that fall on weekends get shifted to the nearest Monday, creating automatic three-day weekends without anyone having to work extra days. It’s a far simpler and more elegant solution for our individualistic culture. No make-up days, no synchronized scheduling, no arguments about who has to work when. When Washington’s birthday falls on a Wednesday, we just shift it to the nearest Monday.

The trade-off? We don’t get those spectacular week-long vacation blocks that China engineers. Our longest federal holiday weekend tops out at three days. But for a country that can’t even agree on what to call carbonated beverages, maybe that’s about all the coordination we can realistically handle.

Categories
Human Behavior Science and Math

The Cafeteria Conspiricy

Voronoi diagram of people enjoying a park from Kottke.org

The strangest thing happens to me when I visit the cafeteria at work. People will come in from out of town and we’ll go to lunch with about 10 people. But there’s nowhere that we can find for 10 people to sit together. There will be a number of seats in a row and then one or two people there to break it up.

It’s like everyone is intentionally spreading out across the room as far as they can. It feels like there’s a conspiracy to keep us from finding a table.

Categories
Human Behavior Life Lessons

The Truth Will Set You Free—But It Might Make the World More Boring

There’s something about folk stories behind names that makes the world feel richer. Names, after all, aren’t just labels—they’re little windows into the past, into the way people once understood the world. And when the official explanation is dry, people fill in the gaps with something better.

Categories
Human Behavior Ideas Life Lessons

Skin in the Game

Making good decisions isn’t easy, especially when it’s hard to know what information to trust. In an ideal world, we could trust the information we hear from friends and from the news. But the media likes to cover the rare and shocking, not the common and routine. A plane crash halfway around the world (a highly uncommon occurance) can seem as likely as a car accident down the street. This distortion skews our perspective, creating a big gap between what we think is likely and what actually is.

Nassim Nicholas Taleb has a smart way of knowing what really matters—he calls it “Skin in the Game.” In his book by the same name, Taleb explains that people with something at stake usually offer the best information. It’s simple: when you stand to lose, you’re going to think carefully. But when you’re insulated from the consequences, it’s easy to toss around advice or make bold predictions because they sound good, not because they’re giong to work.

Categories
Human Behavior Life Lessons

Why We Buy Overpriced Things and “Like” Things We Don’t Really Like

In economics we learn that as prices rise, demand falls. This happens because we assume that rational customers are looking to buy things that provide the most value for the least expense. But there’s a class of goods that don’t behave this way: Velben goods.

Veblen goods defy classical economics. Named after Thorstein Veblen, an American economist, these products become more desirable as they become more expensive. These goods are more desired not from the needs they fulfill but from their ability to signal status, exclusivity, and wealth.

Categories
Human Behavior Ideas

Hacking Evolution: Fitness Faking

Animals can fake their evolutionary fitness in a number of ways. Humans do it too. While this may seem like we’re corrupting our gene pool it might not be so bad.

Categories
Human Behavior

Looking at Fast and Slow Thinking on Facebook

I saw the following question on Facebook:

“I’m getting married, and my husband and I are looking at what our married name should be. My last name is Lipsky. It was changed by my ancestors from the original ‘Lipszyc’ when they immigrated to the US in the early 1900s. I’m starting to really connect with my heritage. Should I keep the current name or switch back to the previous name?”